When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake.

By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes.

I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics.

Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press.

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge.

The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information.